Carl P Schmertmann Florida State University
Emilio Zagheni Queens College, City University of New York
Joshua R Goldstein University of California, Berkeley
Mikko Myrskylä London School of Economics

Journal of the American Statistical Association 109(506):500-513. June 2014.

FORECASTS

View Forecast Images

INPUT DATA

HFD rate data (2540 KB)
HFD exposure data (2731 KB)
Myrskylä et al. rate data (817 KB)
Myrskylä et al. exposure data (795 KB)
Lima Brazil rate data (19 KB)

R PROGRAMS

R script to assemble ASFR and exposure data from input files (8 KB)
Step 1. Calibrate Penalties from Historical Data (9 KB)
Step 2. Calculate Forecasts (7 KB)
Step 3. Create Forecast Plots (9 KB)

OUTPUT DATA

Forecasts for all countries (.dput file) (1692 KB)
Simulated 1985 Forecasts for some countries (.dput file) (808 KB)

This page was built by Carl Schmertmann
Last modified on 18 Jan 2022 22:20 UTC